Experts are no better at making predictions about the future than anyone else, but experts talk more confidently about their opinions, and generally don’t get penalized for being wrong. -- Brazen Careerist
Some subjects are more predictable than others. A plumber had better be able to predict the solution that will unplug my toilet or he will be out of business pretty soon. But, a recruiter? Does she have to be able to predict the performance of a hire?
Conservative political philosophers have always insisted that people do not have the power to predict the outcome of events which are determined by more factors than they can comprehend let alone control.
